WSOP 2025 Main Event Kicks Off: What Odds Are Bookmakers Offering?

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Will the Champion Be from the USA?
 

In addition to betting on individual players, US sportsbooks are offering a range of special bets, including wagers on the nationality of this year’s champion. Traditionally, American players have dominated the WSOP, but in recent years, Europe and Asia have increasingly left their mark on the Main Event. This market is especially intriguing for those betting on international challengers to outplay the homegrown stars at poker’s biggest stage.

Americans have claimed the Main Event crown in both 2023 and 2024, with Jonathan Tamayo and Daniel Weinman taking home the gold bracelet. But from 2019 to 2022, the winners came from Germany (Hossein Ensan, Koray Aldemir), Argentina (Damian Salas), and Norway (Espen Jørstad). Picking a side can feel as tough as choosing between red and black at the roulette table.

Daniel Weinman, 2023 WSOP Main Event champion

Pick

American Odds

European Odds

Champion from USA

-130

1.77

Champion not from USA

-110

1.91


How Old Will the Winner Be?
 

The face of poker keeps getting younger, but it’s often the experienced veterans who make crucial decisions when it counts most. Bettors are favoring players in their thirties — the generation of online grinders who've logged thousands of multi-table tournaments. The Main Event is a marathon, stretching across many days and requiring tremendous physical and mental stamina. That mid-career group has both the energy and the battle-tested focus to go the distance.

Age Bracket

American Odds

European Odds

20–29

+225

3.25

30–39

+175

2.75

40–49

+250

3.50

50+

+400

5.00


What Winning Hand Will Seal It?
 

In recent years, the Main Event title has typically been claimed at the final table with a pair or two pair. That’s what handed Daniel Weinman the win last year, and Jonathan Tamayo the year before. But if you believe in fairy-tale finishes, the odds on a Royal Flush delivering the knockout punch are a wild 251.00, a long shot you’ll be talking about for years if it lands.

Hand

American Odds

European Odds

Pair

+110

2.10

High card

+250

3.50

Two pair

+350

4.50

Three of a kind

+1200

13.00

Straight

+1400

15.00

Full house

+1600

17.00

Flush

+2800

29.00

Four of a kind

+10000

101.00

Straight flush

+15000

151.00

Royal flush

+25000

251.00


Leading Contenders for the Main Event Title
 

Jesse Lonis – odds 31.00

Jesse Lonis is part of the new wave of American pros who blend technical prowess with an instinct for high-pressure decision making. Over the past two years, his results have been exceptional, not just at the WSOP, but across the live tournament circuit, where he’s regularly cashed and made appearances at final tables.

Lonis brings a style that’s aggressive but calculated, which is exactly what you need for a multi-day marathon like the Main Event. If recent results are anything to go by, he’s not just in peak form, he has the confidence and mindset required to go all the way.


Daniel Negreanu – odds 31.00

The Canadian legend needs no introduction. Daniel “Kid Poker” Negreanu is a seven-time WSOP bracelet winner and one of the most recognizable faces in the history of the game. While the Main Event crown still eludes him, it's only a matter of time before everything clicks.

Negreanu’s vast experience in marathon tournaments, his elite ability to read opponents, and his seamless adaptability give him an undeniable edge. In recent years, he’s been working tirelessly on his Game Theory Optimal (GTO) approach just to keep pace with a younger generation of grinders. The Main Event demands both stamina and the ability to build momentum over two weeks, skills that Daniel has etched into his DNA.


Phil Hellmuth – odds 51.00

According to many, he’s the single greatest figure in WSOP history. Phil Hellmuth holds an unmatched 17 WSOP bracelets, including the Main Event title back in 1989. He’s famous, sometimes infamous, for a playing style described as unorthodox, but even decades later, the results speak for themselves.

Hellmuth is a master of poker psychology. He reads people, senses the moment, and, by his own account, can will a victory into existence. While his approach may be polarizing among younger players, the numbers don't lie. The Main Event is about more than just flawless GTO play, it's about who can stay in the game, survive swings, and rise to the occasion. No one does that better than Phil.


Fedor Holz – odds 51.00

Fedor Holz is regarded as one of the most successful tournament players of all time. Although he's no longer grinding full-time, describing himself as a “semi-retired” his returns to the WSOP always make headlines. Holz has an outstanding record in high-stakes events, with his High Roller for One Drop win in 2016 netting him over 5 million dollars.

Holz represents the epitome of the modern poker generation: deeply technical, analytical, and impeccably prepared. Whenever he shows up at the WSOP, he commands respect across the field, and if he enters the Main Event, he’ll instantly be among the most-watched picks for the title.


Isaac Haxton – odds 51.00

Among his peers, Haxton is respected as one of the sharpest minds in poker. Whether it’s online or live, in cash games or tournaments, he plays at the absolute highest level. Lately, he’s been shining brightest in live high roller events.

If you want a player who embodies patience, analytical skills, and adaptability, it’s Ike. While he’s picked up just one WSOP bracelet so far, his consistent deep runs and high finishes prove he has all the tools to finally conquer the Main Event.


Phil Ivey – odds 51.00

Poker’s “Tiger Woods” is hungry coming into this summer, and the sportsbooks have taken notice. Phil Ivey, with 11 WSOP bracelets to his name, is feared across every format and widely considered one of the most naturally talented players to ever play the game.

If Ivey chooses to give the Main Event his full focus, he stands among the top contenders according to bookmakers. His ability to read opponents at the table is unrivaled, and his reputation alone forces others into mistakes long before the showdown.

Player

American Odds

European Odds

Jesse Lonis

+3000

31.00

Daniel Negreanu

+3000

31.00

Phil Hellmuth

+5000

51.00

Fedor Holz

+5000

51.00

Isaac Haxton

+5000

51.00

Phil Ivey

+5000

51.00


So, Who Will Win the 2025 WSOP Main Event?
 

If history has shown us anything, it’s that the Main Event can be won by an unknown amateur or a seasoned pro. However it plays out, one thing is certain: we’re about to witness poker’s grandest spectacle once again, a festival where legends are made and lives are forever changed.

 

Sources: WSOP, Wikipedia, BetUS, PokerNews, Triton Poker