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Analysis: Tightest hand Spraggy ever streamed?
New member of our editorial staff, popular commentator and poker pro Pavel "Taška" Kellner prepared another analysis for you, in which he shed light on an interesting SCOOP hand between Parquet Talbot and Benny Spragg.
This year's SCOOP is slowly but surely approaching the finals. However, the battles continue not only in event tournaments. A good example can be thursday's $530 Bounty Builder final table on May 19. Tonkaaaa vs Spraggy, first and second on chips. The hand that decided the winner.Tonka was in a more advantageous position, as he had Spraggy to his right, so the slight chip deficit should not be that noticeable. The 17,500/35,000 blinds hand was a wild west shootout.
It all started with a standard raise from the button when Spraggy opened his pair of sixes and Tonka called from the big blind. Both players effectively played 80 big bets. So far, there has been no indication that it should be the biggest pot of the final table. Spraggy, who was broadcasting live, called for a six on the flop and it did come, along with an ace and a ten, both diamonds. The plot was taken care of. A 60% c-bet from Spraggy who definitely has a range advantage on this flop and another Tonkas call.
Another six comes on the turn, Spraggy has the poker ready, and you can hear in the attached video that it's quite possible that his opponent will bet him. The next six actually strengthens the player in the big blind more than the original raiser, but we won't see a bet from Tonka, so it's Spraggy's turn again. He continues with another beta. This time worth three quarters of the pot. Tonka just calls again.
A ten of spades lands on the river and Tonka dives into "tank mode" where after a few tens of seconds burns a barrel worth 1.152 million chips! That was more than the whole pot. Spraggy must have been smiling a lot inwardly, what was really going on. Again, a long "tank" followed, and then an all-in that could have sent Tonka out of the tournament. Here, too, we can observe a great analysis of Spraggy, who loads the opponent to the ten with something in diamonds or a bluff. Honestly, there isn't much natural bluffing on this texture, so even to me it looks like Tonka really has a full house. The question is, can he throw it away? Finally, Tonka makes the call and finds out the sad news that the opponent is better. Here I would like to dwell on Tonk's river play.
Betting with a full house from the first for more than a pot is definitely ok. I wouldn't want to call all-in, but I wouldn't want to. Are you asking why? First of all, it is difficult to come up with a bluff on the board structure again, perhaps a deleted pocket pair. However, it will really only be a few percent of cases where someone bluffs into such a big river bet all-in, especially in a first vs. second chip battle. You're actually hoping that you call for a draw and your opponent also shows a ten. But he can also have a poker six, as was the case in this case, or an ace under his hand or an ace ten. So three quarters of what the opponent holds "for value" beats you and one quarter is a split. We have to take into account the very small percentage of bluffing, but it will still be a fold for me. In any case, it is difficult to judge Tonk's final call when both players know each other very well and the so-called "next level plays and mindgames" will definitely play a factor here.
This epic hand helped Spraggy cruise to victory, nearly $34,000 in cash, and celebrate his 33rd birthday in style. What else to say? It's still true that poker is a game of mistakes and making the right decisions. In my opinion, even the "craziest fold" can eventually bring you a win or a decent income.
As always, you can vote in the comments if you could roll a Tonky fullhouse ten. Just don't be swayed by the result and my analysis. Everybody is general after a battle... Have a good time and good luck.
Source: YouTube, PS